Can We Triple Power Sources in 15 Years?

DOUG LEWIN | Source: douglewin.com | Posted 01/14/2025

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A new ERCOT report says AI data centers, electrified oil and gas operations, and other load growth could require three times the current amount of power. Will Texas meet the moment?


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ERCOT's recently released Long Term System Assessment for 2024 projects a substantial increase in electricity demand in Texas by 2039. The report predicts that ERCOT will need between 425 and 500 gigawatts of capacity, significantly higher than the current 170 gigawatts. This surge in demand is attributed to high load growth scenarios and retiring older power plants, making it a pressing challenge for the state.

To meet the projected demand, Texas is focusing on a significant increase in renewable energy sources, including wind, solar, and storage. The state, blessed with abundant natural resources, aims to ramp up its monthly grid additions to 1.5 - 2 gigawatts to align with the high-growth projections. With a competitive electricity market attractive to investors, Texas stands to capitalize on opportunities like accommodating data centers and advancing clean energy initiatives to secure its position as a leading economic force in the 21st century.



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